Status and assessment of risks at the enterprises of industrial complex of the Northern region of the Crimea

Abstract

In today's unstable economic processes taking place in the country under the influence of a considerable number of factors of the external sector and the mobility of market conditions, the activities of a number of industrial enterprises of Northern Crimea does not ensure a profit necessary for their future development, there is a tendency to a sharp increase in the number and level of danger of the economic risks. The future for companies in such conditions becomes less predictable. Therefore, the success of the enterprise depends on the accurate and timely identification of sources and enterprise risk management, the accuracy of the assessment of future risks, development and implementation of preventive measures to prevent undesirable consequences. In this connection, it is proposed approved methods, which allows to determine the average probability of occurrence of a number of risks and their importance rating. Studies have shown that for a given period, the most severe for the enterprises of Northern Crimea region is the risk of lack of established supply chain of raw materials. For businesses, this can be expressed in interruptions and delays in deliveries, penalties from customers and their loss, as well as additional costs. The proposed method allows us to estimate the probability of occurrence of a risk, but it is not pointing to the possible effect of the risk, both negative and positive. The data obtained can be used in the development of national, regional and sectoral policies and programs, and provide full management of industrial enterprises the tools of risk management.